Not the Treasury view...

Professor of Economics and Public Policy at King's College London, and Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe. Economics, immigration, welfare, and public policy..

Thursday, 31 December 2020

Marking myself to market: my forecasts for 2020, evaluated

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Every year the Financial Times asks, just before Christmas, 100-odd UK economists for their predictions for the year to come.  And in recent...
Monday, 23 December 2019

Marking myself to market: my forecasts for 2019, evaluated

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Every year the Financial Times asks, just before Christmas, 100-odd UK economists for their predictions for the year to come.  And in recen...
Thursday, 20 December 2018

Marking myself to market: my forecasts for 2018, evaluated

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Every year the Financial Times asks, just before Christmas, 100-odd UK economists for their predictions for the year to come. ...
Sunday, 18 March 2018

Child poverty forecasts: my bet with Christopher Snowdon

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Last week, the Equality and Human Rights Commission published an analysis , by Howard Reed and me, of the impact of changes to tax and ben...
Wednesday, 27 December 2017

Marking myself to market: my forecasts for 2017, evaluated

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Every year the Financial Times asks, just before Christmas, 100-odd UK economists for their predictions for the year to come...
Friday, 22 September 2017

Citizens' rights: will Theresa May keep her promise?

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Did Theresa May just commit the UK to keeping a key Vote Leave promise? No, not the £350 million – we may be getting back full control over...
Wednesday, 5 April 2017

The contradictions of Fraser Nelson

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Fraser Nelson is upset with this passage, from my blog about statistics yesterday: A similar, but even more toxic, disjunction from real...
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